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The Yale School of Management Stock Market Crash Index measures “Confidence that there will be no stock market crash in the succeeding six months generally declined (though with a lot of ups and downs) over the years since 1989 until the stock market bottomed out in late 2002. Just after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, Crash Confidence actually rose a little. But Crash Confidence reached its lowest point at 20.79% for institutional investors and 28.95% for individual investors as of November 2002. By April 2006, Crash Confidence was up to 57.95% for institutional investors and 48.61% for individual investors.”

Data is updated once per month. Check out the other stock market confidence indexes, especially the comparison of U.S. vs. Japan Crash Indexes.

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