InvivoAnalytics.com

July 16, 2009: As the smoke cleared from a HUGE three-day UP move in U.S. stocks, there was a lot of shouldda, wouldda, couldda post-game analysis about the head and shoulders top that I warned readers about on July 9, that “one must look at the chart in a way that allows us to see the upside and the downside. The biggest buy pattern — the ABC Correction — has not yet been eliminated.”

April 6, 2009: Hedge ratios for inverse ETFs that correspond to the long ETFs found in our U.S. Core and Satellite model portfolios are now published daily.

March 16, 2009: . . . we will deploy all cash on a DAILY CLOSE ABOVE $SPX 780.12, the high from the week of February 27, 2009 on the S&P 500 Index. As discussed in the podcast, there are other ways to “leg back in”.

March 10, 2009: My impression was that market participants were still hopeful when the lower low formed in November 2008 and when it was taken out followed by the big panic gap down on March 2, 2009, the stage was set for surrender. Last week’s price action was replete with stories filled with the fear that no bottom could be found above zero.

March 6, 2009: When the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 6,626.94, we remarked, “One of the kisses of death on the upside are analysts projecting ever higher highs after a huge move up. Remember $250 QCOM? $250 oil? The same thing happens near significant, tradeable bottoms and what did we see today? Big percentage downward projections. Louise Yamada was on Bloomberg, CNBC, New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, MSN Money, etc. She was everywhere. The skinny lady belting out downside targets has to be a big sign.

February 5, 2009: … there is a good possibility that we are only at Point B (and the Discouragement phase is still ahead of us) because just look at the news flow and how the market reacts — the good bank/bad bank last week, the “relax mark-to-market” thing today, the stimulus bill tomorrow — everyone is still holding onto hope. . . . Let’s put it this way: They feel like it’s Point E, but I am not so sure; it might be closer to Point B.

November 20, 2008: When ISRG was trading at $145.00, we observed, “We can also see that investors are going through Overt Warning to Panic phase of The Investor Sentiment Cycle” and said, “We see that the analyst is giving bullish fundamental reasons while the price action is telling us something else. Let’s see what happens next with ISRG. Will the ‘$100 Handle’ hold?”

September 24, 2008: When the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 10,825.17, we sent an urgent email to premium members, saying, “Please accept my apologies for intruding on your evening. . . . While I strongly advocate holding the course for long term investments, there may be times — like right now — where it may be more prudent to take a defensive stance by standing aside. . . . I believe there is a real possibility that nothing is done, meaning that the market might go nuclear. . . . This is as close to a replay of August 1720, Paris as we want to get. . . . we can only guess where a bottom will be found.

July 9, 2008: When premium member Dan asked, “Any thoughts as to whether coal and steel are dead for the time being?” We said, “Investors are asking themselves this question everyday. The coal and steel industries have been *the* hot spots where aggressive investors and traders have been blindly piling in.”

May 18, 2008: When oil was at $130/barrel, we pointed out the insanity of Kurt Wulff, analyst at McDep LLC, who considered the pullback a buying opportunity, likening an investment in Exxon to that of a Treasury security — or even safer than that. “We had thought that inflation-linked government securities were the safest investments to anchor a diversified portfolio, but lagging inflation adjustment and high taxation are driving us to believe that a proportionately large investment in the world’s leading corporation is ’safer,’ ” he wrote in commentary today.

January 7, 2008: When DRYS was at $68.00, we warned, “even though the “why” for the price drops cannot be found in the fundamentals and the outlook, investors should not ignore price breaks as these may be Subtle or Overt Warnings that the sentiment cycle has entered the Disbelief phase.”

December 27, 2007: When MOO was at $57.00, we remarked on the flood of money going into agricultural sector investment, “With positive press and a flood of offerings, it seems to me — from a sentiment cycle perspective — that the market for these investments must be closer to the “returning confidence” phase than than “wall of worry” phase.

November 7, 2007: When WM was at $20.50, we warned, “Bernard Baruch once said, “I got rich by taking profits too early.” Yet for generations, traders and investors have ignored his advice, preferring to buy late in the game on the way up or court danger (”maoxian” in Mandarin) by rushing into value traps early in a decline.

September 7, 2007: I’m sort of worried that there are a bunch of banks that are actually insolvent as we speak. And people don’t seem to be cluing in that Ben is in fact dropping cash from the discount window helicopter.

August 31, 2007: I think the market doesn’t like what they’re hearing. Bernanke is saying, “You’re @*$#&!, and we’re bailing as fast as we can to keep the banks solvent.”

August 30, 2007: I mean, for all we know, a ton of these big brokerage houses are standing there, completely insolvent right now.

August 20, 2007: I think there are big time problems behind the scenes. We don’t even know if many of these firms are even solvent.