I have written many articles over the years. This is a list of the most important ones, for reference.
Folk Finance
You’ve heard of folklore, folk music and folk medicine, but what about folk finance, you know, the stuff that everyone believes but has weak theoretical foundations? It is necessary to know this stuff in order to exploit mistakes for profit. He-he.
- Because They Only Worked By Coincidence - 2010 March 29
- David Aronson: Re-Education of a Trader - 2008 March 24
- Does "Printing Money" Lead to Inflation? - 2009 November 12
- Engineering Better Bollinger Bands - 2007 October 14
- Expectancy, Performance and The “R” Word - 2007 October 8
- Gold and the Return to "Sound Money" - 2008 February 19
- In Economics, Demography is Destiny - 2010 February 1
- Judging The Keynesian "Beauty Contest" - 2007 November 9
- Lost Decade for the Undiversified - 2010 February 15
- Market Timing Your Portfolio - 2010 February 15
- Myth Busted: Trading for a Living - 2010 January 20
- Seasons of the Advisor Career Cycle - 2008 May 2
- Shame on You, Michael Yoshikami! - 2009 October 15
- So You Think You Can Trade? - 2009 July 23
- Taleb Fooled by Leverage - 2008 August 17
- Technical Trading Rules Revisited - 2009 August 10
- The Award Goes to Martin Feldstein - 2010 April 30
- The House Wins Every Time - 2009 May 6
- The Manhattan Paradox, or Why Volatility Kills - 2010 May 30
- Thoughts on the Kase Dev-stop - 2007 October 8
- What are Momentum Indicators? - 2010 July 21
- What Are Momentum Indicators? Part 2 - 2010 August 6
- What Quants Know and What Traders Refuse to Believe - 2008 January 2
- When Newsletter Writers Start a Hedge Fund - 2009 August 21
- When Newsletter Writers Try to Trade, 1 - 2009 May 27
- When Newsletter Writers Try to Trade, 2 - 2009 July 29
- Where are the Customer's Yachts? - 2010 February 22
- Why Professionals Get Caught at the Top - 2010 January 24
- Why the Experts Missed the Crash - 2009 February 19
- Why the Market Went Up on Bad News - 2008 December 5
Unconventional Wisdom
The lazy or uninformed will not accumulate wealth, save for dumb luck. If you have capital at stake in today’s economy or aspire to have a fate different from the masses, then you will benefit from knowing the unvarnished (and sometimes, awful) truth about trading and investing.
- 50 Ways to Lose Your Money (Without Trying) - 2008 February 6
- A Conversation with Charles Kirk - 2008 April 28
- A Conversation with David Fry - 2009 March 18
- A Trap? Santelli vs. The Dollar - 2009 November 2
- A Word from Chuck LeBeau - 2008 December 26
- Academia, Option Spreads, etc. - 2008 November 11
- Andre Bauer, Meet Adam Smith - 2010 January 26
- Another Look at Macroeconomics - 2010 January 23
- Are Stock Prices Moving Together Too Much? - 2009 November 26
- Beta dressed in Alpha Clothing - 2010 February 15
- Beta dressed in Alpha Clothing, Part 2 - 2010 February 17
- Big downside projections for the Dollar - 2010 February 15
- Build Your Own Trading System: Part One - 2008 February 6
- Build Your Own Trading System: Part Two - 2008 February 8
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 1 - 2008 February 25
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 2 - 2008 March 4
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 3 - 2008 March 6
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 4 - 2008 March 7
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 5 - 2008 March 19
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 6 - 2008 March 19
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 7 - 2008 March 20
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 8 - 2008 March 23
- Building Your Investment Portfolio, Part 9 - 2008 October 30
- Can't Legislate Away Stupidity - 2010 June 16
- Cash Flow vs. Earnings - 2008 December 2
- Chart of the Day: Global Work-Force Change - 2010 June 14
- Chimerica: The Defiant Ones - 2009 July 29
- China, Some Choice Adjectives - 2010 February 1
- China: No Shorts = No Bids - 2008 September 19
- Currency Hedging for Your Portfolio - 2009 September 17
- Dancing Bears, Waiting For Rain - 2009 September 22
- Disorderly Prices? No Problem! - 2008 September 30
- Dollar and Yuan: The Defiant Ones, Part 2 - 2009 November 29
- Download Bonus Materials - 2008 February 17
- Economics vs. Engineering - 2010 February 21
- Emerging Markets: a Sentiment Indicator? - 2010 February 18
- Evaluating Buy and Sell Signals - 2008 September 20
- Facts Don't Matter - 2010 August 5
- Fake It Until You Make It (in a Bull Market) - 2010 March 14
- Finally, a Nuanced Discussion of the U.S. Current Account Deficit - 2008 January 3
- Flash Crash: Is Technical Analysis the Smoking Gun? - 2010 July 29
- Free Ratio Charts Online - 2010 April 12
- Fundamental Regimes - 2010 February 24
- Geanakoplos on The Leverage Cycle - 2009 November 13
- Gold on Verge of Historic Breakout? - 2009 May 29
- Gold, That Diabolical, Dreaded Yellow Metal - 2010 July 13
- Greenspan: No Perfect Model of Risk - 2008 March 17
- Happiness and Uncertainty - 2010 February 2
- Hedging Market Risk with Futures - 2009 November 27
- Historical New High/New Low Charts - 2009 January 22
- How a 10-Year Winning Streak Ended - 2010 March 14
- How Investors Can Learn From History - 2010 February 12
- How Leverage Affects The Individual Trader - 2007 November 29
- How Much to Core vs. Satellite Portfolio? - 2008 November 1
- How to Find the Needle in a Haystack, Part 1 - 2010 March 15
- How to Find the Needle in a Haystack, Part 2 - 2010 March 16
- How to Find the Needle in a Haystack, Part 3 - 2010 March 18
- How to Find the Needle in a Haystack, Part 4 - 2010 March 25
- How to Find the Needle in a Haystack, Part 5 - 2010 March 28
- How to Profit from the New Sovereigns - 2010 July 23
- How to Spot a Bogus Economic Forecast - 2010 January 25
- How to Succeed in Love (and the Market) - 2008 February 14
- Hugging the Benchmark: Games that Fund Managers Play - 2008 January 4
- Identification of Volatility Clusters - 2008 October 23
- Inflation, Deflation & The Exit Strategy - 2009 August 27
- Inflation, Deflation and "Money Printing" - 2010 January 24
- Interview with Benoit Mandelbrot - 2009 October 9
- Investors Pay The Price When Elites Panic - 2010 January 24
- Irrational Fear of Inflation - 2010 January 31
- Is the Silent Bell Tolling for China? - 2010 February 17
- It's Looking a lot like ... Japan - 2009 February 12
- John Paulson's Other Secret - 2010 April 19
- John Paulson's Secret - 2010 February 18
- Justin Mamis: What The Market Says, Part 1 - 2008 October 20
- Justin Mamis: What The Market Says, Part 2 - 2008 October 20
- Ken Binmore: How to Play The Game - 2008 January 22
- Leonard Mlodinow: Trade Like a Rat - 2009 May 13
- Lessons From The Madoff Affair - 2008 December 12
- Leverage, Bubbles and Crashes, Part 1 - 2009 February 12
- Leverage, Bubbles and Crashes, Part 2 - 2009 August 18
- Maintaining a "strong" Icelandic Krona - 2008 March 26
- Malcolm Gladwell on Talent and Success - 2009 April 30
- Managing Career (and Market) Risk - 2009 December 1
- Market Timing vs. Dynamic Weighting, Part 2 - 2010 January 28
- Message Processing Bias - 2009 May 2
- Michael Steinhardt: Too Soon Old - 2008 July 12
- Misallocation: Always Chasing Momentum - 2009 September 2
- Monetary Inflation and Shadow Money, a Primer - 2009 November 2
- Murphy's Law, or how to think diabolically - 2008 October 9
- My, What a Big Head You Have - 2009 June 9
- New York Lottery Takes a Gamble - 2009 February 10
- Own The Zone: Chapter 1 - 2009 February 18
- Own The Zone: Chapter 2 - 2009 February 18
- Own The Zone: Chapter 3 - 2009 February 18
- Own The Zone: Chapter 4 - 2009 February 19
- Own The Zone: Chapter 5 - 2009 February 19
- Own The Zone: Chapter 6 - 2009 February 19
- Own The Zone: Chapter 7 - 2009 February 19
- Own The Zone: Chapter 8 - 2009 March 2
- Passive vs. Active Management - 2009 October 15
- Poisoned Kool-Aid, Mushroom Manure, and The Real Conspiracy - 2010 August 5
- Portfolio Diversification with VXX and VXZ - 2010 February 3
- Portfolio Risk vs. Career Risk - 2009 September 11
- Portfolio Size, Rebalancing and Weighting - 2008 May 5
- Position Sizing: Securities vs. Horses - 2010 March 15
- Power vs. Self Interest - 2010 February 17
- Putting a Price Tag on Revaluation - 2010 February 18
- Q&A: Alpha vs. Beta for Your Portfolio - 2009 April 23
- Q&A: Are Moving Averages Useful? - 2009 March 10
- Q&A: Bonds and Interest Rates - 2010 March 30
- Q&A: Commodity ETFs, Calendar Effects, Stock Scan - 2008 August 8
- Q&A: Extreme Optimism AND Pessimism - 2010 January 5
- Q&A: Extreme Stops, Asset Allocation Portfolio - 2008 July 16
- Q&A: Gold, Bonds and Real Estate - 2009 March 2
- Q&A: Hedging, a Real-Life Example - 2009 July 19
- Q&A: Hedging, a Step by Step Guide - 2009 June 5
- Q&A: Historical Allocation for Portfolios - 2009 February 6
- Q&A: Historical/Realized Volatility & Range - 2009 May 2
- Q&A: How to Implement End of Day Signals - 2009 February 4
- Q&A: How to Read the SmarterStops Dots - 2008 December 15
- Q&A: Hussman's Duration - 2009 February 4
- Q&A: Interpretation of Moving Averages - 2009 June 3
- Q&A: Is This A Bottom? - 2008 July 15
- Q&A: Marketing Timing vs. Dynamic Weighting - 2010 January 27
- Q&A: Moving Averages for Portfolio Timing - 2009 March 9
- Q&A: Option Greeks and ISEE Call/Put Ratio - 2009 May 31
- Q&A: Options and Covered Calls - 2010 January 28
- Q&A: Portfolio Leverage, Volatility and Alpha - 2010 June 24
- Q&A: Portfolio Strategy, Going to Cash - 2008 December 17
- Q&A: Relative Momentum Indicators, Cash in Portfolio - 2008 May 9
- Q&A: RMI Indicator, Covered Calls, Elliot Waves, Volatility - 2010 February 15
- Q&A: Signals and the 50-day MA - 2010 February 15
- Q&A: Stock Picking and Self-Attribution Bias - 2009 May 2
- Q&A: The "Pandit Pop" and Bank Earnings - 2009 March 10
- Q&A: The All Clear Signal - 2009 February 4
- Q&A: The All Clear Signal #2 - 2009 February 4
- Q&A: The Last Word on Hedging with ETFs - 2009 April 1
- Q&A: Time To Get Back Into the Market? - 2009 March 20
- Q&A: Time To Get Back Into the Market? 2 - 2009 March 23
- Q&A: Time To Get Back Into the Market? 3 - 2009 March 30
- Q&A: Timing vs. Reweighting, Calendar Effects, Portfolio Margin - 2010 August 3
- Q&A: Trader Vic 2B, "Success", Swings, Stops, Stock Picking - 2008 September 12
- Q&A: Trading with Call and Put Spreads - 2009 May 14
- Q&A: What Went Wrong with Economics? - 2009 July 28
- Q&A: When To Get Back In, Part 1 - 2008 November 11
- Q&A: When to Get Back In, Part 2 - 2008 November 24
- Q&A: Where Do I Start? (Portfolios) - 2009 May 11
- Q&A: Where We Are In The Cycle, III - 2009 September 23
- Q&A: Where We Are In The Cycle, Part 1 - 2009 March 12
- Q&A: Where We Are In The Cycle, Part 2 - 2009 June 22
- Ray Dalio: Using leverage is like playing Russian roulette - 2008 January 7
- Real Estate: How It All Started - 2009 September 27
- Relative Momentum and Strength Are Key - 2008 November 19
- Richard Bernstein's 10 Investment Guidelines - 2009 May 2
- Risk Management for Civilians - 2008 September 20
- RiskGrades, Backtesting & Shanghai - 2008 September 22
- Sentiment Lesson from Corn & Soybeans - 2009 March 31
- Sentiment, Trading & Career Advice - 2008 September 27
- Seven Steps to Better Stock Trading - 2009 November 30
- Short Selling: Financial Terrorism and the Uptick Rule - 2008 September 19
- Should Central Banks Maximize Happiness? - 2008 January 3
- Should You Trade Your Investments? - 2008 September 8
- Should You Trade Your Investments? Part II - 2008 September 10
- Special Report: Avoid The Final Insult - 2009 March 5
- State Street Sentiment Alert - 2010 February 25
- Stock Picking, Market Strategy with Fundamentals - 2010 March 10
- Stock Screen of the Day: Josef Lakonishok - 2008 January 2
- Stock Trading: Putting It Together - 2008 October 29
- Stops Cannot Be Eyeballed - 2008 January 3
- Stops, Swings and Commando Trading - 2008 December 10
- Summer Reading: Finding Alpha - 2009 July 16
- Tax Management with ETFs - 2008 October 29
- Taylor on Sentiment, Returns and Volatility - 2009 July 20
- The 1937 Scenario - 2008 October 14
- The Cooking Analogy - 2010 February 15
- The Correlation Heat Map - 2009 January 25
- The Currency Debasement Case for Gold - 2010 May 5
- The Currency Debasement Case for Gold, Part 2 (Video) - 2010 May 13
- The Currency Debasement Case for Gold, Part 3 - 2010 May 14
- The Currency Debasement Case for Gold, Part 4 - 2010 May 17
- The Doomsters: Taleb vs. Roubini - 2008 December 14
- The Game Theory Stag Hunt - 2010 August 6
- The Justin Mamis Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part 1 - 2007 December 7
- The Justin Mamis Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part 2 - 2009 February 5
- The Justin Mamis Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part 3 - 2009 March 6
- The Justin Mamis Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part 4 - 2009 March 11
- The Justin Mamis Investor Sentiment Cycle, Part 5 - 2009 August 28
- The Last Word on Hedging an Investment Portfolio - 2010 May 27
- The Nature of Risk 2010, Part 1 - 2010 April 23
- The Nature of Risk 2010, Part 2 - 2010 April 23
- The Philosophy of Tops (Redux) - 2009 September 16
- The Philosphy of Tops - 2008 July 9
- The Power of Analyst Recommendations - 2009 May 26
- The Power to Persuade - 2010 February 16
- The Propensity to Gamble - 2010 January 14
- The Trouble with Marketing Timing a Portfolio - 2009 December 22
- The Watershed Moment - 2009 March 20
- The Wisdom of Gordon Livingston - 2010 July 14
- The Wisdom of Ray Dalio - 2009 November 13
- The Wisdom of Ray Dalio - 2010 July 15
- The World According To Brock - 2009 January 3
- The World According to Brock (Podcast) - 2009 January 21
- The World According to Brock (preface) - 2009 March 17
- The World According to Brock IV - 2009 May 19
- The World According to Brock, Perfect Storm (Again) - 2009 September 16
- The World According to Brock, Preface - 2009 January 4
- The Yuan Non-Revaluation - 2010 April 11
- Time to Get Back Into The Market? (podcast) - 2009 March 16
- Time to Get Back into the Market? Part 2 - 2009 March 19
- Traders Helping Traders: A Conversation with Neil - 2008 January 25
- Trading Your Investment Portfolio, Part III - 2008 September 21
- Trading Your Investment Portfolio, Part IV - 2008 December 13
- Trading: The Highs and Lows - 2009 October 11
- Transcript from Q&A at KirkReport.com - 2009 August 21
- Understanding The Rise and Fall of the Dollar - 2009 October 21
- Unsolicited Advice - 2008 October 28
- Using The Daily Workbook - 2008 November 26
- VIX and The Rules of Investing - 2009 February 14
- What do GOOG, CROX, WYNN and JAVA have in common? - 2007 October 10
- Why I Don't Want to Live Forever - 2010 August 5
- Word of the Day - 2009 September 19
- Working a Stop Loss - 2009 August 21
The Playbook
You will get more from this section than by paying thousands to attend seminars. Why? Because the June 2009 Chart Reading Refresher Course and the October 2009 Trader Bootcamp are online. There is also The Playbook for Discretionary Trading, and an entire library of reference material for download. More below:
- Q&A: Day-Trading E-mini Stock Index Futures - 2010 September 5
- Real-Time Trading Session TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 August 5
- Insight and Analysis TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 August 3
- Real-Time Trading Session TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 July 28
- Position Sizer for Stocks - 2010 June 21
- Trader's Workshop Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 26
- Trader's Workshop Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 25
- Trader's Workshop Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 24
- Trader's Workshop Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 21
- Trader's Workshop Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 20
- Computer Specs - 2010 April 21
- Name That Setup (or Stand Aside) - 2010 March 9
- Beta vs. Volatility Ratio - 2010 March 7
- Trader's Workshop Recap for Friday - 2010 February 28
- Trader's Workshop Reference Books - 2010 February 26
- Trader's Workshop Recap for Thursday - 2010 February 25
- Trader's Workshop Recap for Wednesday - 2010 February 24
- Trader's Workshop Research, Part 1 - 2010 February 23
- 2B or Not 2B? That's a Test! - 2010 February 23
- Trade with Swing Charts, Part 2 - 2010 February 23
- Trader's Workshop Recap for Tuesday - 2010 February 23
- Trader's Workshop Recap for Monday - 2010 February 22
- February 2010 Trader's Workshop - 2010 February 22
- Trading with the Smarter.Swings Indicator - 2010 February 2
- Why I Don't Watch 101 Things While Trading - 2010 January 25
- Trade Without Stress or Taking Heat - 2009 November 20
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2009 November 18
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2009 November 13
- October 2009 Trader Bootcamp Kickoff - 2009 October 16
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 16
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 16
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 15
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 15
- Trader Bootcamp: Chart Patterns - 2009 October 15
- Trader Bootcamp: Reading the Tape - 2009 October 15
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 14
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 14
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 13
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 13
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 12
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 12
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 9
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 9
- Trader Bootcamp - The Kase for Range Bars - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - The Holy Grail Fail - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - Exploiting Mistakes - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - Reference Material - 2009 October 8
- SmarterSuite: Download Additional Studies - 2009 October 8
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 7
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 7
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 6
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 6
- Trader Bootcamp - Morning Session - 2009 October 5
- Trader Bootcamp - Afternoon Session - 2009 October 5
- Chart Reading, The Refresher Course - 2009 June 18
- SmarterSuite for TradeStation: QuickStart Guide - 2009 June 1
- SmarterSuite for eSignal: QuickStart Guide - 2009 June 1
- SmarterSuite: How to Read the RMI Histogram - 2009 March 31
- SmarterSuite: TradeStation Reference Material & Code - 2009 February 19
- SmarterSuite for TradeStation - 2009 January 1
- SmarterSuite for eSignal - 2009 January 1
- Trade Like a Commando (Podcast) - 2008 December 9
- The Playbook for Discretionary Trading - 2008 March 9
Real-Time Trading Session Archive
Download the video from each week’s trader training.
- Webinars for This Week - 2010 September 7
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 September 1
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 August 25
- Real-Time Trading Session TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 August 5
- Insight and Analysis TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 August 3
- Real-Time Trading Session TUTORIAL (Video) - 2010 July 28
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 July 21
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 July 14
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 July 7
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 June 23
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 June 16
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 June 9
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 June 5
- Real-Time Trading Session Instant Replay (Video) - 2010 May 12
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 May 5
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 April 21
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 April 9
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 March 19
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 March 12
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 March 5
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 February 19
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 February 12
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 February 5
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 January 29
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 January 22
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2010 January 15
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2009 December 2
- Real-Time Trading Session Recap - 2009 November 25
Recommended Reading
Before you trade or invest, take time to contemplate and understand some fundamental truths.
- The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius
- The Nature of Risk
- Winning The Mental Game on Wall Street
- Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
- A Mathematician Plays The Stock Market
- How to Lie with Statistics
- Chance
- Game Theory: A Very Short Introduction
- The Winner’s Curse
- Behavioral Finance & Decision Theory
- New Market Wizards (Eckhardt Chapter)
- Pioneering Portfolio Management
- Unconventional Success
- A Brief History of Economic Genius
- General Economic History
- The Age of Turbulence
- In an Uncertain World
